Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov recently announced plans for a Russia-Africa summit to be held in July this year. As preparations for the summit are underway, discussions surrounding trade and investment cooperation have taken center stage. In this article, we delve into the factors contributing to the stagnation of Russia’s trade relations with African countries and explore the potential for growth in these economic ties. Minister Lavrov highlighted the need for new instruments of trade and investment cooperation, especially in light of sanctions and evolving geopolitical dynamics. The transition to payments in national currencies is also in progress, although it is a gradual process. These measures are part of Russia’s efforts to revamp its interactions with African nations.
The South African Institute of International Affairs has released a policy report on Russia-African relations, addressing various aspects of this relationship. The report emphasizes Russia’s use of narratives related to anti-colonialism to build solidarity with African nations and exert influence in the region. However, it questions the effectiveness of Russia’s policy on Africa. Despite Russia’s promises and bilateral agreements, its trade with Africa remains modest, standing at just $20 billion, considerably lower than countries like India and Turkey. This stagnation has been a subject of discussion among policymakers and researchers, who have identified several reasons behind it.
One significant factor is Russia’s limited involvement in economic sectors and critical infrastructure development in Africa. Moscow has primarily focused on the mining industry, while overlooking opportunities in other sectors. As a result, Russia lags behind leading foreign countries in economic parameters within the African region. Incentives also play a crucial role in shaping trade relations. China, for instance, has a strong incentive to invest in Africa to secure resources and export its goods. Russian exports primarily consist of oil, gas, arms, and raw materials, which do not align with Africa’s needs and preferences.
To boost trade and investment with Africa, Russia needs to modernize its industry, provide support to businesses, and facilitate access for small and medium-sized enterprises in African markets. Additionally, Russia can export technology and compete effectively with China, India, and other players in the African market. Trade preferences and tariff reductions should also be considered to enhance trade relations. However, these promises have often gone unfulfilled in practice.
In conclusion, while Russia’s political engagement with Africa has increased, this has not translated into significant economic capabilities. To strengthen trade ties, Russia must diversify its economic interests, provide support to its businesses, and address obstacles to trade effectively. With Africa’s growing middle class and consumerism on the rise, the potential for trade in Africa remains promising, provided the necessary steps are taken to overcome existing challenges. The upcoming Russia-Africa Summit in July offers an opportunity to reinvigorate economic cooperation and explore new avenues for collaboration.