As new tariffs take effect, Deloitte provides an analysis of their potential impact on the U.S. economy in its report, Prioritizing Supply Chain Resilience and Agility: Strategies for U.S. Manufacturing in a New Era of Industrial Policy, released on April 1.
According to the report, the administration’s economic policies, which focus on tax cuts, reduced regulations, lower energy costs, and fair trade, could support investment in U.S. manufacturing. These measures may lead to a shift in supply chain strategy, with a focus on reshoring, potentially disrupting nearshoring and global sourcing trends.
Tariffs have become a key part of the administration’s strategy to boost U.S. manufacturing, address unfair trade, and strengthen national security. The administration has imposed tariffs such as 25% on imports from Mexico and Canada, excluding certain goods that comply with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), and 20% tariffs on goods from China. Additionally, tariffs on aluminum and steel imports have been levied, along with executive orders directing investigations into international trade dynamics’ impact on U.S. workers and businesses.
These policies may present both challenges and opportunities for U.S. manufacturers, depending on factors such as supply base location, company size, and resilience to supply chain shocks. Without measures to increase resilience, smaller manufacturers might face challenges from increased costs, while larger companies with global production footprints could adjust by shifting production to U.S. facilities, potentially gaining market share.
Key Strategies for U.S. Manufacturers:
- Assess Supply Chain Exposure and Risk:
Manufacturers are advised to analyze the potential impacts of tariffs and trade tensions. This includes mapping supply chain exposure, identifying second-order risks, and evaluating the effects of potential retaliatory tariffs. Companies should understand their suppliers’ vulnerabilities and calculate the added costs of tariffs to prioritize mitigation strategies. - Explore Near-Term Mitigation Approaches:
Before making significant changes to supply chains, manufacturers can consider strategies to mitigate the financial impact of tariffs, especially if they are temporary. This can include front-loading imports, renegotiating contracts with suppliers, and utilizing duty-reduction strategies such as applying for exemptions or working with suppliers to offset tariff costs. - Evaluate Long-Term Supply Chain Strategies:
In the long term, manufacturers may need to reassess their supply chain strategies. Deciding where to manufacture products—domestically or internationally—will depend on factors like tariffs, trade policy, and overall production costs.
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