Oil prices experienced a slight increase on Friday amidst the possibility of OPEC+ extending output cuts. However, both Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude were on course for their most substantial weekly declines in three months. This downward trend is attributed to uncertainties surrounding demand and a decrease in supply risks due to easing tensions in the Middle East.Brent crude futures for July saw a modest rise of 14 cents to reach $83.82 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for June increased by 16 cents to $79.11 per barrel.
Despite these marginal gains, concerns lingered among investors regarding the potential impact of prolonged high interest rates on economic growth, particularly in the U.S., the world’s largest oil consumer.Analysts from ANZ Research highlighted the likelihood of consumers opting for shorter drives during the upcoming U.S. driving season due to concerns over high inflation. The market’s focus has now shifted towards U.S. economic data and signals regarding future crude supply from major producers.The recent decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates and its acknowledgment of elevated inflation levels have added to market uncertainties.
Geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Hamas conflict, which previously supported oil prices, have shown signs of easing with discussions of a potential ceasefire.Brent crude was set to record a 6.3% weekly decline, while WTI was poised for a 5.6% loss. As the next OPEC+ meeting approaches, discussions may revolve around extending voluntary oil output cuts if demand does not improve. The upcoming release of the U.S. nonfarm payroll report and Baker Hughes’ weekly rig count will provide further insights into the market dynamics affecting oil prices.
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