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India Anticipates Surging Economic Growth, Aiming for Third-Largest Global Economy by 2027

by Richie
01/30/2024
in Economic Indicators, Global Trade, Import/Export Statistics, International Relations, Market Trends, Sourcing, Trade Policies

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India is eyeing the position of the world’s third-largest economy by 2027, boasting a projected gross domestic product (GDP) of $5 trillion, according to statements from the finance ministry. The announcement precedes the upcoming interim budget release later this week.

In a report unveiled on Monday, the finance ministry expressed optimism, stating that the Indian economy is set to grow at or above 7% in the fiscal year 2024, aligning with the nation’s fiscal calendar starting from April 1 and ending on March 31. Achieving this target would mark the third consecutive year of 7% GDP growth for India, whose current GDP stands at $3.7 trillion.

India’s Chief Economic Advisor, V Anantha Nageswaran, attributed the economic robustness to a decade of government reforms and measures, emphasizing the role of domestic demand, private consumption, and investment. Nageswaran highlighted the impact of investments in both physical and digital infrastructure, fueling supply-side growth and manufacturing. The report anticipates that real GDP growth will likely approach 7% in the fiscal year 2025.

It is important to note that the released document on Monday was not the Economic Survey of India, typically prepared by the Department of Economic Affairs ahead of the Union Budget. The Union Budget, set to be released after the general election between April and May this year, will follow the interim budget presentation by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Thursday, which is not expected to introduce significant changes to spending or tax policies.

Goldman Sachs forecasts India’s ascent to the position of the world’s second-largest economy by 2075, surpassing not only Japan and Germany but also the United States. Currently ranked as the fifth-largest economy globally, India trails behind the U.S., China, Japan, and Germany.

The positive trajectory of India’s stocks in 2023, with the Nifty 50 index rising over 20%, is reflective of growing optimism surrounding the country’s economic prospects. The index recently breached the 22,000 mark for the first time this month, with factors such as increased liquidity, higher domestic participation, and positive sentiment driving the rally.

Investors are also buoyed by hopes of policy continuity as India prepares for its general election between April and May. Anticipation of potential interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India later in the year is seen as a catalyst for further market gains and increased spending within the economy.

Catch the latest supply chain news at The Supply Chain Report. Learn more about international trade at ADAMftd.com with free tools.

#IndiaEconomy #GDPGrowth #EconomicForecast #FinanceMinistry #Investment #DigitalInfrastructure #Nifty50 #StockMarket #ReserveBankOfIndia #GovernmentReforms #EconomicAdvisor #FiscalYear2024 #EconomicProspects #IndiaRising #PolicyContinuity #FinancialNews

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