Hanoi (VNA) – Vietnam’s coffee industry recorded significant export growth in the first two months of 2025, with export turnover rising 26.2% year-on-year to $1.58 billion, despite a 28.4% decline in export volume to 284,000 tonnes, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment.
Industry experts note that this performance reinforces Vietnam’s position in the global coffee market and presents potential opportunities to achieve an export target exceeding $6 billion this year.
Increase in Export Value
In February 2025, Vietnam exported over 193,000 tonnes of coffee, generating a record $1.08 billion in revenue for a single month. Green coffee beans accounted for the majority of exports, totaling over 178,000 tonnes, while processed coffee products contributed nearly 15,000 tonnes.
One of the key factors driving the increase in export revenue was the rise in global coffee prices. The ministry reported that the average export price for Vietnamese coffee in January and February reached $5,574.5 per tonne, a 76.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024. In February alone, prices peaked at $5,596 per tonne, marking an all-time high.
Chairman of the Vietnam Coffee – Cocoa Association (VICOFA), Nguyen Nam Hai, stated that the higher prices contributed significantly to the industry’s strong revenue performance, exceeding previous forecasts. Green coffee alone generated $956.58 million in February, a 107% increase from the same month in 2024. Meanwhile, processed coffee products, including roasted, instant, and blended coffee, accounted for $123 million, or 11.4% of total export value, highlighting a growing trend toward value-added coffee products.
Key Export Markets
Vietnam’s primary coffee export markets include Germany, Italy, and Japan, which accounted for 16.6%, 9.4%, and 8.2% of total exports, respectively. Compared to the previous year, export values in January 2025 increased by 53% to Germany, 5.6% to Italy, and 10.4% to Japan, indicating stable demand in these key regions.
According to Hai, coffee remains a highly traded commodity in global markets, attracting strong investor interest. He noted that the price difference between Robusta and Arabica coffee is currently around $3,000 per tonne. As Arabica prices increase, demand for Robusta—of which Vietnam is the world’s leading producer—may continue to rise.
Market Outlook and Industry Challenges
The Ministry of Industry and Trade’s Agency of Foreign Trade has indicated that potential weather shifts, including the possible transition from El Niño to La Niña in 2025, could impact coffee-growing regions in Brazil, the world’s largest coffee exporter. If frost conditions affect Brazil’s production for the 2025-2026 crop year, global supply constraints may create additional opportunities for Vietnam.
However, Hai suggested that while Brazil’s production might decline after July 2025, the overall impact on global markets remains uncertain, and the situation requires ongoing monitoring.
Future Strategies for Growth
To reach the $6 billion export target, Vietnam’s coffee industry aims to maintain stable cultivation areas, enhance product quality to meet international standards, and strengthen links between farmers and processors. Businesses are also encouraged to diversify export markets to reduce reliance on a few key trading partners.
Deputy Minister of Agriculture and Environment Phung Duc Tien expressed confidence in the industry’s growth trajectory, citing recent performance trends. He emphasized the importance of continued investment in processing technology, market expansion, and adaptability to global economic fluctuations.
The ministry, in collaboration with VICOFA and coffee enterprises, is developing long-term strategies focused on sustainable growth and enhancing the value of Vietnam’s coffee industry in the international market.
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