WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump’s stance on tariffs has created significant uncertainty, leaving both domestic businesses and international leaders unsure about the future of trade relations.
Trump has repeatedly stated that new trade deals are in the works, with some set to be finalized in the coming weeks. However, he also recently suggested that it may be “physically impossible” to hold all the necessary meetings to make this happen. Additionally, while Trump announced new tariff rates on April 2, he later clarified that these rates would be set by the U.S. government, leading to confusion over whether further changes are expected.
While Trump claims to be actively negotiating with China on tariffs, both Chinese officials and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have indicated that formal discussions have yet to begin. This lack of clarity has raised concerns about the direction of U.S. trade policy and its potential impact on the global economy.
The ongoing tariff disputes have already had serious consequences. The United States imposed tariffs totaling 145% on Chinese goods, prompting China to retaliate with tariffs of 125% on U.S. products, igniting a trade war between the world’s two largest economies. The resulting uncertainty has increased the risk of a potential global recession.
In an interview with Time magazine, Trump indicated that tariffs ranging from 20% to 50% over the next year would represent a “total victory,” even though he temporarily reduced the baseline import taxes to 10% for 90 days while negotiations continue. He emphasized that the final tariff rates would be determined by his administration, fueling confusion among both international partners and domestic stakeholders.
The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy has contributed to growing apprehension within American businesses. According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, a report based on interviews with businesses, the word “uncertainty” was mentioned 80 times in April, compared to just 45 times in March and 14 times in January. As a result, many companies have scaled back on hiring and investment.
In private discussions during the recent International Monetary Fund (IMF) conference in Washington, foreign finance ministers and corporate leaders expressed concerns about the lack of a coherent U.S. tariff strategy. Josh Lipsky of the Atlantic Council noted that many were unsure of the Trump administration’s goals or whom to approach for negotiations.
Several countries are attempting to move negotiations forward. Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter recently stated that Switzerland is among 15 nations slated to begin “privileged” talks with the U.S., though formal negotiations will require a memorandum of understanding. Meanwhile, South Korea has called for an end to tariffs in order to facilitate an agreement by July, while the European Union is advocating for a zero-tariff deal. However, Trump has expressed concerns about the EU’s value-added tax, which he claims disadvantages U.S. goods.
Despite these challenges, Trump has maintained an optimistic outlook, suggesting that deals with countries like Japan are progressing. However, talks with Japan have centered on issues such as auto safety standards, with U.S. automakers facing challenges due to Japan’s right-hand drive requirements.
The uncertainty surrounding tariffs is also affecting businesses in the U.S. supply chain. According to Ryan Petersen, CEO of supply chain company Flexport, bookings for ocean containers from China to the U.S. have dropped by over 60% in the past three weeks. Retailers are already notifying customers of higher prices on products like furniture and housewares due to tariff-related charges.
For small businesses, the rapid implementation of tariffs has posed significant challenges. Afina, a showerhead manufacturer, found that customers overwhelmingly preferred the lower-priced, imported model over a more expensive domestically produced version, which was priced nearly double due to the tariff impact.
Ramon van Meer, founder of Afina, noted that the sudden nature of the tariff imposition created difficulties for smaller businesses. He pointed out that the lack of proper planning and communication from policymakers has made it hard for businesses to adapt to the changes.
As the situation continues to evolve, businesses and consumers alike are left grappling with the potential consequences of these shifting trade policies. The road ahead remains uncertain, with significant implications for the global economy.
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