The U.S. manufacturing sector experienced modest growth in February, according to the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business. The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI®) registered at 50.3%, slightly lower than January’s 50.9%, indicating continued but slow expansion.
New orders, a key indicator of demand, fell into contraction territory, dropping 6.5 percentage points to 48.6%. Production remained in growth mode at 50.7%, while the employment index declined to 47.6%, reflecting workforce reductions. Supplier deliveries slowed, and raw material prices rose, influenced in part by anticipated tariffs on imports.
“U.S. manufacturing activity expanded marginally for the second month in a row, but demand weakened,” said Timothy R. Fiore, Chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. He noted that companies are exercising caution due to economic uncertainty and potential impacts from trade policies.
Manufacturers reported concerns over upcoming tariff changes, which are set to take effect in mid-March. The report highlighted a 20% increase in spot commodity prices, contributing to higher input costs. Some businesses are reassessing order placements as they evaluate the financial effects of these trade measures.
Industry performance was mixed in February. Four of the six largest manufacturing sectors—Petroleum & Coal Products, Food & Beverage, Chemicals, and Transportation Equipment—showed growth. Other sectors, including Furniture, Textile Mills, and Computer & Electronic Products, continued to contract.
Both exports and imports increased but at a slower pace. The New Export Orders Index measured 51.4%, down from January’s 52.4%, while imports grew to 52.6%, as firms moved to secure materials ahead of tariff implementations. While the sector continues to show signs of stabilization, the report indicates that factors such as inflation, trade policies, and labor market conditions may influence the manufacturing outlook in the coming months.
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